by pat howard

Last-minute Emmy picks

In Primetime Emmys on September 21, 2008 at 5:50 pm

UPDATED | The winners (and thus my record stays intact)

The 60th Primetime Emmy Awards are just over an hour away. Here are my predictions:

Outstanding Reality Competition

  • Who I’d Vote For: The Amazing Race
  • Who Will Win: The Amazing Race

TAR has cleaned up every year since this category was established, and with good reason. The travelogue part balances out the trashy reality part and is probably part of the reason the Academy looks so well on it. I think it’s compelling, well-edited television.

Supporting Actress, Drama

  • Who I’d Vote For: Chandra Wilson, Grey’s Anatomy
  • Who Will Win: Dianne Wiest, In Treatment

I fear that nominations for Wilson and Oh will split the votes among Grey’s fans. And Academy fave HBO doesn’t have a whole lot to bring to the table this year.

Supporting Actor, Drama

  • Who I’d Vote For: John Slattery, Mad Men
  • Who Will Win: Ted Danson, Damages

Supporting Actress, Comedy

  • Who I’d Vote For: Amy Poehler, Saturday Night Live
  • Who Will Win: Kristin Chenowith, Pushing Daisies

Supporting Actor, Comedy

  • Who I’d Vote For: Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother
  • Who Will Win: Jeremy Piven, Entourage

Harris has had a huge year, but Piven has rocked this category more than once in the past.

Lead Actress, Drama

  • Who I’d Vote For: Glenn Close, Damages
  • Who Will Win: Glenn Close, Damages

Lead Actor, Drama

  • Who I’d Vote For: Michael C. Hall, Dexter
  • Who Will Win: Jon Hamm, Mad Men

Lead Actress, Comedy

  • Who I’d Vote For: Mary-Louise Parker, Weeds
  • Who Will Win: Christina Applegate, Samantha Who

This is a tough, tough category. Weeds is constantly overlooked, though Parker entirely makes the show and more than deserves it. She’ll be handicapped by Weeds‘ comedy classification, as the show has ventured more and more into drama in recent seasons. So then I think it’s between Julia Louis-Dreyfuss and Applegate. Samantha had a critically lauded debut season and Applegate may be able to count on the sympathy vote.

Lead Actor, Comedy

  • Who I’d Vote For: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
  • Who Will Win: Tony Shalhoub, Monk

I hated Baldwin until I saw him in 30 Rock in the role he was born to play. The therapy session in which he played an entire African American family is proof enough of his comic versatility. But Emmy voters keep handing statues to Shalhoub, who’s been playing the same one-note character for years.

Outstanding Drama Series

  • Who I’d Vote For: Mad Men
  • Who Will Win: Mad Men

Outstanding Comedy Series

  • Who I’d Vote For: Curb Your Enthusiasm
  • Who Will Win: Curb Your Enthusiasm

So that’s it. We’ll see how it all shakes out tonight at 8p/7c on ABC.

LAST YEAR | I was roughly five for ten in my picks, so that’s decent, I guess, given that there’s no real predicting what those crazy voters are going to do.

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